Germany – stubborn core inflation

The German inflation rate rose from 2.0% to 2.2% in August.

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Dr. Ralph Solveen

Commerzbank Economic Research

08/29/2025

More importantly, however, the core inflation rate, which excludes the often highly volatile energy and food prices, remained at 2.7% for the third month in a row. Its trend decline thus appears to have come to a halt, at least for the time being. The underlying price pressure is therefore more persistent than some had expected.

Core inflation rate stable at 2.7%

Somewhat surprisingly, the German inflation rate rose from 2.0% to 2.2% in August (consensus: 2.1%), moving slightly further away from the ECB's inflation target of 2%. This is primarily due to the fact that energy prices did not fall as sharply as in July compared with the previous year. The core inflation rate, which excludes the often highly volatile prices of energy and food, remained at 2.7% as in the previous month, thus not continuing the slight downward trend observed in the previous months. It therefore remains stubbornly above the ECB's target.

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