US inflation pressures rise somewhat – Fed to cut rates regardless

The price pressure in the United States increased somewhat in August.

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Bernd Weidensteiner

Commerzbank Economic Research

09/11/2025

The consumer price index rose by 0.4% compared with the previous month. The core index, i.e., consumer prices excluding food and energy, which is more indicative of underlying inflationary pressure rose by 0.3%. Some particularly import-dependent product groups are showing continued price increases, with the impact of tariffs apparently becoming more visible.

Seasonally adjusted consumer prices rose by just under 0.4% in August compared with the previous month. The annual inflation rate climbed by two-tenths to 2.9%. The core rate, which excludes the volatile prices of energy and food, is more important for assessing underlying price pressure, however. Compared to the previous month, the core index rose by 0.3%, narrowly missing the 0.4% mark with a value of 0.346%. The annual core inflation rate remained at 3.1%.

Tariffs are reflected in the inflation of goods prices

The effects of higher tariffs are also gradually becoming apparent. Some typical imported goods are experiencing relatively high price increases. Since April 2025 – when Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs, ushering in a paradigm shift in tariff policy – household appliances, various furniture, and leisure items have become more expensive by an average of about 0.5% on month-on-month basis. Previously, prices for these goods had typically been declining slightly.

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