Forecasts

Our leading indicator Early Bird and macroeconomic forecasts

Bird view on a meeting desk with hands of several persons tipping on a laptop, using pocket calculators taking notes or pointing to documents
© Commerzbank
9 October 2026

Germany – Early Bird remains in positive territory

The Early Bird, our leading indicator for the German economy, rose slightly by one point to 28 points in September. The waning tailwind from monetary policy was more than offset by an improved global economic environment and a slightly weaker euro. The Early Bird thus signals a continuation of the economic recovery in Germany.