Forecasts

Our leading indicator Early Bird and macroeconomic forecasts

Bird view on a meeting desk with hands of several persons tipping on a laptop, using pocket calculators taking notes or pointing to documents
© Commerzbank
7 August 2026

Germany – Early Bird deep in positive territorry

The Early Bird, our leading indicator for the German economy, rose from 30 to 33 points in July, thereby offsetting the slight decline from the previous month. It thus remains well in positive territory and signals that the German economy is likely to gain momentum in the coming quarters.