Forecasts

Our leading indicator Early Bird and macroeconomic forecasts

Bird view on a meeting desk with hands of several persons tipping on a laptop, using pocket calculators taking notes or pointing to documents
© Commerzbank
6 September 2024

Germany – Early Bird back in positive territory

In August, our leading indicator for the German economy showed a positive value for the first time in almost two years, once again signaling above-average economic conditions. The monetary policy environment is increasingly brightening, while the global economy continues to face headwinds. With its jump above the zero line, the Early Bird gives hope for a revival of the economy.