Forecasts
Our leading indicator Early Bird and macroeconomic forecasts
© Commerzbank
4 September 2026
Germany – Early Bird Remains Positive
The Early Bird fell from 33 to 25 points in August because the tailwind from monetary policy continues to wane and the euro has strengthened slightly again. Despite the decline, however, our leading indicator remains clearly in positive territory, suggesting that the German economy will continue to grow in the coming quarters.