Forecasts

Our leading indicator Early Bird and macroeconomic forecasts

Bird view on a meeting desk with hands of several persons tipping on a laptop, using pocket calculators taking notes or pointing to documents
© Commerzbank
10 January 2025

Germany – Early Bird keeps on rising

Our early indicator for the German economy rose to 34 points in December, up from 30 points in the previous month. The Early Bird is thus continuing its upward trend of recent months. The indicator is benefiting from the looser monetary policy and stronger economic conditions abroad. With a further increase in December, the Early Bird is fuelling hopes of an economic upturn in the course of this year.