Forecasts

Our leading indicator Early Bird and macroeconomic forecasts

Bird view on a meeting desk with hands of several persons tipping on a laptop, using pocket calculators taking notes or pointing to documents
© Commerzbank
4 October 2024

Germany – Early Bird keeps rising

Our leading indicator for the German economy rose again in September and, at 15 points, is now well into positive territory. In particular, the monetary policy environment is increasingly brightening, while the global economy continues to face headwinds. The steady rise of the Early Bird offers hope that the German economy will overcome the current stagnation in the coming year, even though the numerous structural problems will probably prevent a strong upturn.