Euro area inflation surprises again

Bottom reached for now/higher labour costs as a driver of inflation/ECB will probably not cut key rates until the end of 2024

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Chrstoph Weil

Commerzbank Economic Research

November 30 2023

In the euro area, inflation fell by 0.5 percentage points to 2.4% in November, a much stronger decline than expected.

The sharp fall in the inflation rate for services was particularly surprising. Core inflation even fell from 4.2% to 3.6%. Today's price data is likely to fuel speculation that the ECB will soon cut its key interest rate. However, we think it is too early to declare victory over inflation, given the strong rise in wages.

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